Anthropic Economist Explains Why AI Hasn't Caused White-Collar Job Loss
Anthropic's head of economics argues AI hasn't led to a rise in unemployment.
1AI's Impact on Unemployment
Anthropic economist Peter McCrory argues that AI has not caused a significant rise in US unemployment. This view contrasts with CEO Dario Amodei's warnings of a white-collar job bloodbath. McCrory bases his conclusion on 18 months of internal research.
2Amodei's Concerns
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei predicts that AI will lead to massive losses in white-collar jobs in the future. He warns that half of all entry-level jobs could disappear, pushing unemployment to 10%-20%. This scenario contradicts McCrory's data.
3Unemployment Data
As of June 2026, the US unemployment rate stands at 4.2%, a level the Federal Reserve considers full employment. McCrory emphasizes that AI has not yet had a noticeable impact on unemployment.
4AI's Role
McCrory notes that AI's impact on the labor market is 'jagged.' AI is used more as a 'thought partner' rather than a complete replacement for human labor. This undermines the scenario where AI replaces human jobs entirely.
5Young Workers' Situation
McCrory points out that hiring processes have slowed for young workers in AI-exposed roles. This raises concerns about AI's future impact. However, McCrory argues that this is not yet a sign of a crisis.
6Uncertainty About the Future
McCrory acknowledges that AI's future impact remains uncertain. If AI begins to automate innovation through self-improvement, Amodei's feared scenario could become reality. However, McCrory believes this is unlikely in the near term.
Original article: Fortune — AI'nın Beyaz Yakalı İş Kaybına Yol Açmadığı İddiası