# Gold vs Silver: Dhanteras 2026 Investment Outlook and Price Projections

Analysts evaluate potential returns for gold and silver over one, three, and five-year horizons.

- **Source:** [mint - money](https://www.livemint.com/rss/money)
- **Published:** 2026-11-05
- **Topic:** [Finance](https://brifing.si/c/finance)
- **Original article:** <https://www.livemint.com/money/personal-finance/gold-10-gm-or-silver-1-kg-what-to-buy-on-dhanteras-2026-which-shopping-will-offer-best-returns-over-next-1-3-5-years-11793871118995.html>
- **On Brifing:** https://brifing.si/s/0e4ba549-e450-405e-8261-fad191abd7e2

## Dhanteras Investment Landscape

As of November 5, 2026, MCX December gold futures are priced at ₹144,865 per 10 grams, while silver trades at ₹188,720 per kg. Investors are evaluating these precious metals for long-term portfolio growth ahead of Dhanteras. Market analysts provide distinct projections for potential returns over the coming one, three, and five-year periods.

## Narvekar's Bullish Projections

Vedika Narvekar of Anand Rathi projects gold could reach ₹2.60 lakh per 10 grams by 2031, representing a 79.4% gain. She anticipates silver could climb to ₹3.50 lakh per kg in the same timeframe. While silver offers higher growth potential, she warns that it remains significantly more volatile than gold for typical investors.

## Ramaswamy's Market Outlook

NS Ramaswamy of Ventura offers a more conservative outlook, expecting gold to hit ₹2 lakh per 10 grams by 2031. For silver, he forecasts a price of ₹4 lakh per kg by the same year. He emphasizes that gold provides a more stable investment path with lower downside risk compared to silver's fluctuations.

## Historical Performance Context

Gold has historically delivered annualized returns of approximately 15-16% over the past two decades, solidifying its role as a core asset. Conversely, silver has shown 11% to 16% annualized returns over similar periods but is prone to sharp corrections. Silver is currently trading more than 55% below its previous January peak price.

## Drivers of Gold Demand

Central banks continue to increase gold reserves, providing a fundamental floor for prices. Rising gold ETF inflows, driven by global geopolitical tensions and concerns regarding increasing government debt, further support the metal. Additionally, expectations of lower interest rates are widely viewed as a positive catalyst for gold's future price appreciation.

## Industrial Silver Dynamics

Silver demand is heavily influenced by sectors like solar energy, electronics, and electrification. While these industries support long-term prospects, slower global growth and reduced usage by solar manufacturers can trigger sharp price movements. Investors must balance these industrial demand factors against the metal's inherent physical market availability and price volatility.

## Strategic Asset Allocation

Analysts recommend maintaining gold as the core precious-metal allocation for most portfolios due to its stability. Silver should be considered only as a supplemental allocation in smaller amounts for investors comfortable with higher risk profiles. Diversifying between these metals requires a clear understanding of their distinct volatility patterns and long-term growth drivers.

## Investment Decision Framework

Investors should view these projections as educational guidance rather than guaranteed outcomes. Market conditions, interest rate shifts, and industrial demand cycles will ultimately dictate actual returns. Before committing capital, individuals are advised to consult with certified financial experts to align these commodity investments with their specific risk tolerance and financial goals.

## Sources covering this story

- https://www.livemint.com/money/personal-finance/gold-10-gm-or-silver-1-kg-what-to-buy-on-dhanteras-2026-which-shopping-will-offer-best-returns-over-next-1-3-5-years-11793871118995.html — 

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_Summary written by Brifing from the original reporting. Copyright in the original article belongs to its publisher; read the full piece at the link above._
