# EU Faces Budget Gridlock Over New 45 Billion Euro Ukraine Loan

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz conditions the next EU budget on fresh financial aid for Kyiv.

- **Source:** [The Kyiv Independent](https://kyivindependent.com)
- **Published:** 2026-11-09
- **Topic:** [politics](https://brifing.si/c/politics)
- **Original article:** <https://kyivindependent.com/eu-plans-to-send-a-new-45-billion-euros-to-kyiv-in-2027/>
- **On Brifing:** https://brifing.si/s/0efb8f52-1a95-4ab2-b2ad-348b65270e3f

## Proposed 45 Billion Loan

The European Commission is preparing a proposal for a 45 billion euro loan to help bridge Ukraine's projected 70 billion euro budget shortfall in 2027. This funding would supplement an existing 45 billion euro pledge from a 90 billion euro loan package established in April 2026 to support Kyiv's economy.

## German Budget Ultimatum

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has officially linked the approval of the European Union's next seven-year budget to this new financial support for Ukraine. In a letter to Council President Antonio Costa, Merz argued that collective, fair burden-sharing among all member states is an essential prerequisite for resolving the bloc's fiscal negotiations.

## Internal Political Divisions

The proposal has exposed deep rifts between member states. While Germany and other nations like Denmark and Sweden advocate for a unified package, countries like Poland warn that linking the budget to Ukraine aid could backfire. Meanwhile, Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico has labeled this conditional approach as very dangerous.

## Opt-Outs and Resistance

Diplomats expect Czechia, Hungary, and Slovakia to opt out of this new loan, just as they did with the 2026 package. Bulgaria is also expected to seek an exemption under the government of Prime Minister Rumen Radev. These countries are part of the cohesion group resisting the frugal camp's demands.

## Interest Payment Challenges

Covering interest payments remains a critical hurdle for Brussels. While the principal is deferred until Russia agrees to war reparations, interest costs have risen significantly due to higher borrowing rates. Member states must now decide how to service this debt while simultaneously managing their own increasing domestic defense spending requirements.

## The Frugal vs Cohesion

The debate pits the so-called frugal countries, which advocate for budget cuts, against the Friends of Cohesion group. The frugals argue that the cohesion camp cannot demand high expenditure while refusing to participate in joint debt. Ireland's Finance Minister Simon Harris has sided with the frugals, emphasizing European security concerns.

## Remaining Funding Gap

Even if the 45 billion euro loan is approved, Ukraine will still face a 25 billion euro shortfall for 2027. Brussels is currently looking to third countries, such as Norway, the U.K., and Canada, to step up and provide the remaining balance needed to stabilize Kyiv's national budget during the war.

## Next Strategic Steps

The European Commission must circulate the formal plan in the coming days before member states negotiate the final terms. Chancellor Merz has requested that the matter be prioritized at this week's informal summit in Dublin, forcing a confrontation over the bloc's financial priorities and the future of European security commitments.

## Sources covering this story

- [Source — EU Proposes New 45 Billion Euro Loan for Ukraine in 2027](https://kyivindependent.com/eu-plans-to-send-a-new-45-billion-euros-to-kyiv-in-2027/)
- [Euronews – Latest — Merz Links EU Budget Approval to Ukraine Financial Aid](https://www.euronews.com/2026/11/09/no-deal-on-ukraine-aid-then-no-deal-on-eu-budget-merz-says)
- [Meduza English — German Chancellor Merz Threatens EU Budget Veto Over Ukraine Funding](https://meduza.io/en/news/2026/11/09/german-chancellor-merz-threatens-to-block-eu-budget-unless-four-holdouts-hungary-slovakia-bulgaria-and-the-czech-republic-commit-to-funding-ukraine)
- [Source — Germany's Merz Demands EU Prioritize Ukraine Financial Support](https://kyivindependent.com/germanys-merz-complains-about-unfair-burden-sharing-calls-eu-to-prioritize-new-ukraine-loan/)
- [Deutschlandfunk — Chancellor Merz Urges EU Nations to Fund Ukraine Aid Gap](https://www.deutschlandfunk.de/bundeskanzler-merz-fordert-beteiligung-aller-eu-staaten-102.html)
- [Deutschlandfunk — Chancellor Merz Demands EU-Wide Financial Support for Ukraine](https://www.deutschlandfunk.de/bundeskanzler-merz-fordert-beteiligung-aller-eu-staaten-bei-ukraine-hilfe-100.html)
- [Euronews – Latest — EU Budget Standoff Over Ukraine Aid Escalates](https://www.euronews.com/2026/11/10/eu-budget-battle-erupts-as-four-countries-defy-merz-over-ukraine-aid)
- [Politico Europe — Merz Clashes With Fico Over EU Budget and Ukraine Loan Linkage](https://www.politico.eu/article/merz-clashes-with-fico-over-german-bid-to-link-eu-budget-and-ukraine-loan/?utm_source=RSS_Feed&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=RSS_Syndication)
- [FAZ – Aktuell — Merz Leverages EU Budget to Secure Ukraine Support](https://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/ukraine/warum-merz-den-eu-haushalt-mit-der-ukraine-verknuepft-201669107.html)
- [Euronews – Latest — Costa Addresses Merz Ultimatum Linking EU Budget to Ukraine Aid](https://www.euronews.com/2026/11/10/costa-seeks-to-reassure-merz-after-eu-budget-ultimatum)
- [Source — EU Maintains Ukraine Funding Schedule Despite German Pressure](https://kyivindependent.com/eus-costa-keeps-ukraine-funding-talks-on-late-november-agenda-despite-merz-appeal/)

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_Summary written by Brifing from the original reporting. Copyright in the original article belongs to its publisher; read the full piece at the link above._
