Brifing

South Korea Faces Potential Extinction of Pacific Flying Squid Stocks

Rising ocean temperatures and marine heat waves threaten the future of Korean squid fisheries.

Mongabay2 min

1Cultural Staple Under Threat

Squid has long been a fundamental component of the South Korean diet, appearing in everything from spicy stir-fries to casual bar snacks. Professor Kim Tae-won of Inha University notes that the resource was once abundant and affordable. However, shifting environmental conditions are rapidly transforming this accessible food into a rare luxury item.

2Dramatic Decline in Catch

Fishery data reveals a staggering collapse in production volumes over the last two decades. Current catch levels have plummeted to just one-sixteenth of the figures recorded in 2002. Between 2023 and 2025, total output failed to reach even 10% of the record-breaking 225,122 tons harvested during the peak production year of 1999.

3Scientific Projections for 2040s

A recent study published in Communications Earth Environment provides a grim outlook for the nation's maritime resources. Researchers predict that South Korea will likely become a zero-catch state for the Pacific flying squid by the 2040s. This forecast is based on the accelerating impact of climate change on local marine ecosystems.

4Marine Heat Waves Impact

The primary driver behind this ecological shift is the increasing frequency and intensity of marine heat waves. These thermal anomalies disrupt the natural habitats of Todarodes pacificus, forcing the species to migrate or face population collapse. The warming of the East Sea is fundamentally altering the biological viability of traditional fishing grounds.

5Economic Consequences for Fisheries

The scarcity of squid has caused market prices to skyrocket, placing significant financial pressure on the domestic seafood industry. As catch volumes continue to dwindle, local fisheries face an existential threat to their traditional business models. The transition from a high-yield industry to a depleted resource state creates severe economic instability.

6Research Methodology and Findings

Experts at Pukyong National University in Busan conducted the analysis by cross-examining long-term fishery data with climate models. Their research highlights the direct correlation between rising water temperatures and the declining population of the Pacific flying squid. These findings underscore the vulnerability of cold-water species to rapid, human-induced global climate shifts.

7Historical Context of Abundance

During the 1990s, the East Sea served as a prolific hub for squid, supporting a robust domestic supply chain. This period of stability allowed squid to become a staple of everyday meals across the Korean Peninsula. The current decline represents a sharp departure from the historical norms that defined the regional maritime economy.

8Future Outlook and Challenges

The projected loss of the Pacific flying squid highlights the broader risks climate change poses to national food security. As the environment continues to warm, the ability of local ecosystems to support traditional species remains uncertain. Policymakers and industry leaders must now confront the reality of a future without this essential resource.

Original article: Mongabay — South Korea Faces Potential Extinction of Pacific Flying Squid Stocks