# The Post-Crash Venture Capital Landscape

New normal in startup valuations and investor strategies

- **Source:** [Both Sides of the Table](https://bothsidesofthetable.com)
- **Published:** 2022-09-15
- **Topic:** [Finance](https://brifing.si/c/finance)
- **Original article:** <https://bothsidesofthetable.com/what-does-the-post-crash-vc-market-look-like-ed81cd884021?source=rss----97f98e5df342---4>
- **On Brifing:** https://brifing.si/s/148224a6-de0a-4a98-9c1b-b216a1fc808c

## Magnitude of the Market Crash

Public company valuations dropped 53-79% between 2019-2022. Upfront Ventures and Morgan Stanley analysis suggests this isn't a temporary correction but a new normal. SaaS companies are expected to revert from 24x to 10x revenue multiples.

## Impact on Private Markets

Public market declines take 6-24 months to reflect in private markets. Valuation resets appear inevitable across all stages from late-stage to seed rounds. The artificially high valuations of 2021 are unsustainable in the current climate.

## Historical Perspective

Early-stage startup valuations tripled from $20M to $60M average in 5 years, with many exceeding $100M. However, permanent multiple compression at exit points makes these levels unrealistic going forward.

## Dry Powder Waiting

$290B in VC funds awaits deployment in US startups. Investors now prefer companies with 2019-2020 vintage over those clinging to 2021 valuation expectations. Patient capital deployment becomes crucial.

## Two Core Strategies

VCs face a choice: super scaling or super focusing. Firms like Upfront choose the latter, targeting $2-3.5M seed investments for 20% ownership in niche domains. Disciplined focus proves critical in turbulent times.

## Valuation Discipline

VCs avoiding trendy areas like NFTs double down on deep due diligence in their expertise zones. While analysis timelines shortened from 2009 to 2021, the core strategy remained: staying in known waters.

## Investor 'Edge'

Successful VCs maintain either unique investment theses or access advantages. Upfront emphasizes that deep domain knowledge and networks in focused areas become survival tools during market corrections.

## New Market Realities

When the music stops, truths emerge. After a 12-year bull market, VCs must generate returns in all conditions. Disciplined focus and realistic valuations will define success in this new era of venture capital.

## Sources covering this story

- https://bothsidesofthetable.com/what-does-the-post-crash-vc-market-look-like-ed81cd884021?source=rss----97f98e5df342---4 — 

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_Summary written by Brifing from the original reporting. Copyright in the original article belongs to its publisher; read the full piece at the link above._
