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Poland warns of Russian drone strikes on Ukraine allies as Carpathian Eight meet

European leaders gather amid escalating hybrid threats from Russia and stalled peace efforts.

Fortune | FORTUNE3 min

1Carpathian Eight summit convenes

Ukrainian President Zelenskyy hosted leaders from seven regional countries including Poland, Romania and Hungary for the inaugural 'Carpathian Eight' summit in Ivano-Frankivsk. The meeting focused on strengthening security, energy and logistics cooperation at EU level, with participants divided on military support for Ukraine. The summit occurred during Russia's staged parliamentary elections and amid stalled U.S.-mediated peace talks regarding territorial concessions.

2Poland's drone strike warning

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk warned that Russia is planning hybrid attacks using drones or rockets against European nations supporting Ukraine, including Poland. Recent weeks saw Germany, Denmark and Poland accuse Russia of sabotage, arson and surveillance operations. European Commission President von der Leyen proposed creating NATO-like mechanisms to counter these hybrid threats that fall below armed aggression but endanger national security.

3Russia's shadow fleet tactics

Putin warned against Western seizures of Russian merchant vessels, calling them 'piracy' and threatening asymmetric retaliation. Russia employs hundreds of ships to circumvent sanctions, with France and UK detaining suspected 'shadow fleet' tankers. Russia has begun escorting commercial vessels with warships. The UK faced diplomatic protests for supplying drones to Ukraine, which Russia called 'legitimate targets' if used against its territory.

4EU's $3.8 billion defense aid

Ukraine received a 3.3 billion euro tranche from the EU for defense capabilities including missile and drone purchases, amid a projected $27 billion budget deficit. Zelenskyy prepares for UN General Assembly talks on financial stability. The funding comes as Russian strikes killed civilians in Zhytomyr and Kharkiv regions, targeting warehouses, production facilities and a civilian train.

5Nuclear plant drone incident

A Ukrainian drone struck a cooling tower at Russia's Kursk nuclear plant without causing radiation threats or operational disruptions, according to Rosatom. Meanwhile, Russian air defenses claimed to intercept 629 Ukrainian drones overnight across 14 regions, including 350 headed toward Moscow. Russian forces conducted reciprocal strikes on Ukrainian ports and a Nova Poshta logistics center near Odesa handling military cargo.

6Diverging European stances

The Carpathian Eight summit revealed stark differences among European nations regarding Ukraine support. While Poland and Romania remain staunch allies, Hungary, Serbia and Slovakia refuse direct military assistance. This fragmentation complicates unified responses to Russian hybrid warfare tactics that increasingly target civilian infrastructure and economic assets across Europe.

7Russia's election backdrop

The summit coincided with Russia's tightly controlled parliamentary elections, ensuring Kremlin dominance amid virtually no opposition. Putin used the weapons commission platform to deny hostile intentions toward Europe while threatening proportional responses to Western actions. This dual messaging reflects Russia's strategy of combining military pressure with diplomatic posturing during critical geopolitical moments.

8Escalation risks in Black Sea

Recent attacks on merchant shipping and port infrastructure signal dangerous escalation patterns in the Black Sea region. Russia's warnings about asymmetric retaliation for seized vessels, combined with increased warship escorts, suggest Moscow may expand maritime conflict zones. These developments occur as Ukraine strengthens drone capabilities with Western support, creating volatile tit-for-tat dynamics with global trade implications.

Original article: Fortune | FORTUNE — Poland warns of Russian drone strikes on Ukraine allies as Carpathian Eight meet