# XRP Analysis: Critical Levels and Potential Scenarios

Analysts identify key support and resistance levels for XRP's next move.

- **Source:** [CryptoPotato](https://brifing.si/source/bd22636b-ec8d-42a8-8cca-1937c50e0f6c)
- **Published:** 2026-09-03
- **Topic:** [Finance](https://brifing.si/c/finance)
- **Original article:** <https://cryptopotato.com/xrps-next-move-comes-down-to-these-key-price-levels-analyst/>
- **On Brifing:** https://brifing.si/s/7dbd64ce-3362-4c30-a835-087d33695d37

## XRP's Current Situation

XRP is currently trading around $1.35, down approximately 6% over the past week after slipping below a key support level analysts had been monitoring since late August. According to ChartNerd, the token's second failed weekly close above its 50-week EMA suggests potential for further decline to $1.27 before any recovery from the rally that took XRP to $1.70 can resume.

## Technical Indicators and Structure

ChartNerd has been tracking XRP's four-hour chart structure for weeks, observing a range formed between $1.47 resistance and $1.36 support. This range has now been tested twice. Price was rejected at $1.43 and formed another lower high below the bearish signal at $1.39. This technical setup supports the correction following August's rally.

## August's Historic Rally

XRP reached a multi-month high of $1.70 on August 22. This movement was part of a broader market rally triggered by Bitcoin's surge from under $65,000 to $80,000. After a challenging start to the month (having briefly fallen below $1.00), XRP gained 70% in three days. It closed August just under $1.40, still representing a 30% monthly gain despite the pullback.

## Correction Warnings Materialized

ChartNerd warned about correction risks the day after the peak, noting that weekly closes below the 50 EMA would be "an early warning sign for a larger correction." This prediction proved accurate: XRP closed below this average for two consecutive weeks, experiencing a 22% decline from the peak. Attention now turns to the weekly 20 EMA at $1.27.

## Critical Level for Recovery Scenario

ChartNerd suggests XRP needs to reclaim $1.50 before any sustained upward movement. Resistance levels above current price are identified at $1.40, $1.43, $1.47, $1.65, $1.82, and $2.40. On the downside, key support levels to watch are $1.30, $1.27, $1.21, and $0.85 - the latter being an accumulation zone the analyst has flagged since June.

## Golden Cross Expectations

The foundation for a potential bottom scenario lies in a yet-to-form golden cross. XRP's EMAs are coiling, with price trapped below the 50-week average and above the 20-week average. ChartNerd remains hesitant to call a bottom until both averages are reclaimed and held, comparing the current situation to the compression that preceded August's breakout.

## Positive Signal from Spot XRP ETFs

Spot XRP ETFs saw inflows exceeding $110 million last week - their strongest since December 2022. Some investors are considering the possibility of a faster recovery than technical indicators alone suggest. September brings potential catalysts including a CLARITY Act vote around September 15 and Evernorth's planned Nasdaq listing shareholder vote.

## Conclusion and Outlook

The technical picture is clear: XRP remains boxed in below resistance. According to ChartNerd's analysis, unless this changes, the possibility of a move down to $1.27 or lower remains on the table. Investors should closely monitor key levels and broader market conditions for potential shifts in XRP's trajectory.

## Sources covering this story

- https://cryptopotato.com/xrps-next-move-comes-down-to-these-key-price-levels-analyst/ — 

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_Summary written by Brifing from the original reporting. Copyright in the original article belongs to its publisher; read the full piece at the link above._
