# Trump's Iran Policy Faces Dilemma Ahead of Midterms

Former commerce secretary Ross evaluates oil prices and political risks.

- **Source:** [Fortune](https://fortune.com)
- **Published:** 2026-07-23
- **Topic:** [Business](https://brifing.si/c/business)
- **Original article:** <https://fortune.com/2026/07/23/trump-catch-22-iran-oil-inflation-withdraw-midterms/>
- **On Brifing:** https://brifing.si/s/952f9104-26d8-4677-a02f-86ed0a6c7d94

## Iran Crisis and Elections

President Trump faces rising oil prices and a political dilemma ahead of the midterms due to the Iran crisis. Former commerce secretary Wilbur Ross highlights the pressure this puts on Trump's election strategy.

## Strategic Importance of Hormuz Strait

The Hormuz Strait, bordering Iran, is a vital artery for global oil trade. Conflicts have reduced traffic through the strait, leading to a drop in supply and a spike in prices, directly impacting consumers.

## Political Impact of Oil Prices

Ross warns that oil prices reaching $5 per gallon could pose a significant risk for Trump in the midterms. High prices may weaken voter support for the president.

## Pressure on Big Oil Companies

Trump is pressuring oil companies to lower prices. Ross emphasizes the need for companies to increase production and reduce profit margins at gas stations.

## Iran's Waiting Strategy

Iran is betting on Trump losing political power. Ross explains that Iran aims to prolong the crisis to put Trump in a difficult position.

## Critical Role of Midterms

The midterms are a crucial factor shaping Trump's Iran policy. Ross stresses that the election results will be decisive for both Trump and Iran.

## Sources covering this story

- https://fortune.com/2026/07/23/trump-catch-22-iran-oil-inflation-withdraw-midterms/ — 

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_Summary written by Brifing from the original reporting. Copyright in the original article belongs to its publisher; read the full piece at the link above._
