# XRP Rally Faces Headwinds from Rate-Hike Expectations CLARITY Act optimism overshadowed by Fed rate-hike bets in prediction markets. - **Source:** [DailyCoin](https://brifing.si/source/3e9b0f85-cb2f-40ee-ba61-db9410cf0937) - **Published:** 2026-07-22 - **Topic:** [Finance](https://brifing.si/c/finance) - **Original article:** - **On Brifing:** https://brifing.si/s/df875303-9f98-4430-8941-be030d2b5d4f ## Two Key Factors Influencing XRP Crypto analyst Levi Rietveld highlights dual pressures on XRP: developments around the CLARITY Act and Fed rate-hike expectations. Prediction markets now price a 62% chance of rate increases, potentially outweighing regulatory optimism in the short term. ## CLARITY Act's Uphill Senate Battle The crypto market structure bill faces uncertain Senate prospects despite Republican support. With 9 Democratic votes needed, Levi warns that failure to advance before August recess could diminish passage chances until 2026. ## Global Crypto Race and US Position Russia's crypto legalization for foreign trade and Asian regulatory moves pressure US lawmakers. Levi argues the US must act to avoid falling behind in digital asset frameworks as jurisdictions worldwide advance policies. ## Inflation Data and Fed Policy Shift May's 4.2% CPI print, strong payroll growth above 172k jobs, and rising oil prices amid US-Iran tensions fuel Fed hawkish bets. Prediction markets reflect this shift, with rate-hike odds jumping from 50% to 62% recently. ## Pressure on Risk Assets Higher rates could drain liquidity, negatively impacting XRP, equities, and real estate. Despite breaking short-term resistance on 15-minute charts, Levi cautions macro conditions may reverse XRP's rally. ## Critical Level for Investors The analyst identifies $1.06 as key support for XRP. Negative CLARITY Act developments or Fed actions could test this level. Short-term technical buying may prove insufficient against mounting macro risks. ## Sources covering this story - https://dailycoin.com/prediction-markets-lift-rate-hike-odds-xrp-rally-faces-risk/ — --- _Summary written by Brifing from the original reporting. Copyright in the original article belongs to its publisher; read the full piece at the link above._